Overview of Aave (AAVE/USD)
• Aave has been on a rollercoaster ride over the past year, trading at $146 on 1 March 2022, then dropping to $52.4 on 1 January 2023, and currently valued at $72.7 after posting 3.6% gains in the last 24 hours.
• Technical indicators reveal the possibility of a sustained decline in AAVE prices, given Bitcoin’s critical resistance at $28.7K and Federal Reserve’s recent 25 basis point interest rate hike and anticipated slower economic growth in 2023.
• Aave is a leading DeFi protocol offering innovative features such as flash loans and fixed-rate loans with strong community backing and governance token for long-term investors.
Market Structure
Aave was trading within a range from $77.4 to $91.2 between 18 January and 3 March. After falling below the range lows, the market structure took a bearish shape. Around 15 March, AAVE climbed to $81 and formed a lower timeframe range from $73.4 to $81.7; however, it has fallen under this range too recently. The area between 77-$83 zone was identified as a bearish order block while the area between 64-$70 represented support in form of bullish order block..
Key Technical Indicators
This analysis examined key technical indicators on the 1-day timeframe which included Relative Strength Index (RSI) 46.31 signaling neutral market sentiment; Bollinger Bands converging indicating potential price breakout; On Balance Volume (OBV) flat for past two weeks; Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) +0.06 suggesting mild buying pressure; Moving Averages with 20 SMA at 74 and 50 SMA at 78 crossing bearish in early march; MACD below zero -1 & -1 .4 with potential for bullish crossover; Parabolic SAR’s dots above price candles suggesting short term bearish trend; MFI 57 .4 signifying balance market leanings with slight bearish bias for Aave price movement in near future .
Potential Impact of Bitcoin’s Resistance
Given positive correlation between Aave & Bitcoin on price charts ,it’s crucial to consider how resistance at 28K might impact AAVE/USD pair .The Federal Reserve’s recent 25 basis point interest rate hike & anticipated slower economic growth could result less money flowing into risk assets like BTC & AAVE further impacting prices negatively .
Conclusion
Overall ,technical indicators suggest that prices may continue declining & have slightly bearish bias due to combination of factors including but not limited too :Bitcoin’s resistance levels ,Federal reserve rate hike & expected slower economic growth .However these factors are subject to change depending upon current market conditions so traders should keep an eye out for sudden changes before taking any position .